Economist Song Qinghui: Is the "cashless era" really coming?

From the bank card disputes of major domestic commercial banks to the dispute between Ali and Tencent mobile payment, the time is only a few decades. Modern technology is constantly being upgraded, allowing more and more audiences to enter the “cashless society”. There are both advantages and disadvantages, but the pros and cons are not easy to judge. From barter exchange to currency trading to cashless trading, the currency is more and more convenient to carry, and the technical threshold of money is getting higher and higher.

It is also good to use a QR card to scan a bank card on a POS machine. For consumers, these do not require cash. Easy-to-follow consumer behaviors, seemingly simple principles require a lot of knowledge and technology investment. Tencent and Ali have made a lot of efforts and attempts to promote people's habits of trading in mobile phones, IPAD terminals, etc. through guidance. It also allowed some people to brush into the "cash-free era" of the Internet.

For the two business empire of Tencent and Ali, mobile payment is not their ultimate goal. This is just a drainage tool, and they hope to use this tool to attract more users to use its interface to get more users to expand the product usage. Just like many large Internet companies have introduced big health, education, finance and other industries, the purpose is to create more opportunities to retain customers.

Judging from the current competition situation of the two companies, this kind of competition is not conducive to the development of non-cash society in China. Although both companies are trying to recruit and recruit, in order to enhance their own strength in this business, to create a better consumer experience for users, but the adverse effects of mutual production, the future will be passed on to consumers.

To put it simply, if a bank wants to develop a bank card business, it can completely prohibit the transfer of interbank transfers. This requires that the remitter or the payee must open a bank card at the same bank, and the users of each bank can increase accordingly. But in reality, no bank will do this, and banks are trying their best to provide users with quality services. In recent years, the fee-free transfer of mobile phone APPs across major banks has been greatly improved. In addition, the warm reception of outlets, the interactive optimization of mobile APPs, and the continuous upgrading of computer online banking, the better the better, the more characteristic the banks will be. Get an edge in the fierce competition.

Even the relatively backward bank card business knows the benign competition, allowing customers to choose their own bank cards. Through various methods, users have to install a variety of independent software, APP's Internet giants - Tencent and Ali still use this backward, but can prevent customers from losing. Since the two companies currently do not give each other, when there is a new type of payment in the future, there will naturally be a situation in which the "group of people is divided."

On the other hand, the security of mobile payment has become more and more concerned. Even though companies that develop mobile payment technology can strictly control technology and security, the various security risks exposed by handheld terminals have made people feel the fear of the Internet age. In recent years, CCTV “3.15” party has introduced people to a variety of unsafe software, unsecure WiFi, unsafe free charging, and terminals that store a large amount of information for users will also become a safety burden for people in terms of information, funds, and property. .

If we want to truly realize the "cash-free society", on the one hand, the units that provide Internet payment must have experience and technology in money and IT. On the one hand, we must assist in creating a highly secure network environment to prevent personal information from being used in various ways. Way to steal. If the network environment cannot guarantee the security of the transaction, just as we swipe the bank card at the POS where the information stealing tool is installed, no matter how careful, the bank card will be copied and the password will be stolen. In such an unsafe environment, people prefer cash.

In fact, whether it is Tencent or Ali, the payment they introduced is not really a real electronic money, but a user's funds into a huge pool of funds. As long as the customer does not deposit and withdraw, all transactions are only changes in the number on the display of the user terminal, and the total amount of money in the pool of funds will not change.

As the sole issuer of the currency, the central bank is the premise of national economic security. Other institutions can only be called “porters” of money Internetization, not the “creators” of money. Therefore, current companies are only driving the “cash-free society”. Before the central bank issues digital currency, it is difficult for us to enter a real “non-cash society”.

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